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Blacks Power FCvsEntebbe UPPC FC
14.32X3.0522.27
Our pickEntebbe UPPC FC, draw no bet1.5366% chance
Blacks Power FC vs Entebbe UPPC FC prediction Uganda Premier League · Tue 24 Nov
Short answer
Our pick is Entebbe UPPC FC, draw no bet at fair odds of 1.53: our model gives it a 66% chance. The model expects about 0.8–1.2. Uganda Premier League, round 12, Tuesday 24 November, 16:00 EAT.
Form and table
Table after matches up to 6 November 2026.
| Table | Blacks Power FC | Entebbe UPPC FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8 | 4 |
| Points | 13 | 19 |
| Played | 10 | 10 |
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-5 | 5-4-1 |
| Scored per game | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Conceded per game | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| Points per game | 1.30 | 1.90 |
What the numbers say
- Blacks Power FC are 8th of 18 with 13 points from 10 games; Entebbe UPPC FC are 4th with 19 from 10.
- Blacks Power FC score 1.1 goals per game (close to the league average of 1.2 per team) and concede 1.5 (more than average).
- Entebbe UPPC FC score 1.1 goals per game (close to the league average of 1.2 per team) and concede 0.4 (fewer than average).
Expected goals and likely scores
Our model expects Blacks Power FC 0.76 and Entebbe UPPC FC 1.16 goals. The league average is 1.15 goals per team per game, and the home factor is 1.15. These are the six most likely scores:
| Score (Blacks Power FC first) | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0–1 | 16% | 6.27 |
| 0–0 | 16% | 6.37 |
| 1–1 | 14% | 7.16 |
| 1–0 | 10% | 9.86 |
| 0–2 | 10% | 10.17 |
| 1–2 | 7% | 13.35 |
Even the most likely score usually has a chance well below 20%, which is why correct score bets pay so much and lose so often.
Chances for every main market
Chance from our model and the fair odds that match it. Your bookmaker's price includes a margin, so it is usually lower.
Full-time result (1X2)
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Blacks Power FC win | 23% | 4.32 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.05 |
| Entebbe UPPC FC win | 44% | 2.27 |
Double chance
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Blacks Power FC or draw | 56% | 1.79 |
| Entebbe UPPC FC or draw | 77% | 1.30 |
| Either team wins | 67% | 1.49 |
Draw no bet
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Blacks Power FC | 34% | 2.90 |
| Entebbe UPPC FC our pick | 66% | 1.53 |
Total goals
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 58% | 1.72 |
| Under 1.5 | 42% | 2.39 |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 3.32 |
| Under 2.5 | 70% | 1.43 |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 7.77 |
| Under 3.5 | 87% | 1.15 |
Both teams to score
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Yes (GG) | 38% | 2.66 |
| No (NG) | 62% | 1.60 |
Why we picked Entebbe UPPC FC, draw no bet
Entebbe UPPC FC, draw no bet has a 66% chance in our model, a medium level of confidence. For comparison: 1X2 favourite 44%, Over 2.5 30%, Under 2.5 70%, GG 38%, NG 62%. We pick the most likely simple bet whose fair odds are at least 1.45 (or, when every option is shorter, at least 1.30), so the bet is worth placing.
How this bet is settled: Wins if Entebbe UPPC FC win; stake back on a draw; loses if Blacks Power FC win.
Draw no bet removes the draw: if the match ends level, you get your stake back. Full guide to draw no bet.
Is the bookmaker's price worth taking?
Compare your bookmaker's odds with our fair odds of 1.53. If they offer more, the bet has value by our numbers; if they offer less, skip it or wait.
Example: your bookmaker offers 1.68 (example odds). A USh 2,000.00 stake returns USh 3,360.00 if it wins, a profit of USh 1,360.00. Work out your own slip with the payout calculator. How to turn odds into a chance.
Check before you bet
- Team news and line-ups, about an hour before kick-off. The model does not know about injuries: how team news moves odds.
- Whether either side played midweek or has a cup or CAF match soon (rotation).
- Odds movement since this page was published: why odds change.
- Do not add this pick to a long accumulator just to raise the price: how accumulators multiply risk.
Bet responsibly. Only stake money you can afford to lose. Set a deposit limit in your bookmaker account before you start. If betting stops being fun, read where to get help.
Pick made on 8 November 2026 from the table after matches up to 6 November 2026. Picks are never edited after publication.