DerbyNot started
Rangers InternationalvsShooting Stars
11.83X4.1024.75
Our pickRangers International to win1.8355% chance
Rangers International vs Shooting Stars prediction NPFL · Sun 22 Nov
Short answer
Our pick is Rangers International to win at fair odds of 1.83: our model gives it a 55% chance. The model expects about 1.9–1.1. NPFL, round 14, Sunday 22 November, 16:00 WAT, Awka Township Stadium.
Form and table
Table after matches up to 6 November 2026. This is a derby: form often counts for less, and tight, nervous games are common.
| Table | Rangers International | Shooting Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1 | 10 |
| Points | 21 | 15 |
| Played | 10 | 11 |
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-3-1 | 4-3-4 |
| Scored per game | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Conceded per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Points per game | 2.10 | 1.36 |
What the numbers say
- Rangers International are 1st of 20 with 21 points from 10 games; Shooting Stars are 10th with 15 from 11.
- Rangers International score 1.6 goals per game (above the league average of 1.1 per team) and concede 1.0 (fewer than average).
- Shooting Stars score 1.5 goals per game (above the league average of 1.1 per team) and concede 1.4 (more than average).
Expected goals and likely scores
Our model expects Rangers International 1.85 and Shooting Stars 1.08 goals. The league average is 1.14 goals per team per game, and the home factor is 1.15. These are the six most likely scores:
| Score (Rangers International first) | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12% | 8.67 |
| 2–1 | 10% | 10.13 |
| 2–0 | 9% | 10.93 |
| 1–0 | 9% | 11.05 |
| 0–0 | 6% | 16.10 |
| 3–1 | 6% | 16.45 |
Even the most likely score usually has a chance well below 20%, which is why correct score bets pay so much and lose so often.
Chances for every main market
Chance from our model and the fair odds that match it. Your bookmaker's price includes a margin, so it is usually lower.
Full-time result (1X2)
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rangers International win our pick | 55% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.10 |
| Shooting Stars win | 21% | 4.75 |
Double chance
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rangers International or draw | 79% | 1.27 |
| Shooting Stars or draw | 45% | 2.20 |
| Either team wins | 76% | 1.32 |
Draw no bet
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rangers International | 72% | 1.39 |
| Shooting Stars | 28% | 3.59 |
Total goals
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 1.25 |
| Under 1.5 | 20% | 4.96 |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.79 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.27 |
| Over 3.5 | 34% | 2.97 |
| Under 3.5 | 66% | 1.51 |
Both teams to score
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Yes (GG) | 56% | 1.77 |
| No (NG) | 44% | 2.30 |
Why we picked Rangers International to win
Rangers International to win has a 55% chance in our model, a modest level of confidence. For comparison: Over 2.5 56%, Under 2.5 44%, GG 56%, NG 44%. We pick the most likely simple bet whose fair odds are at least 1.45 (or, when every option is shorter, at least 1.30), so the bet is worth placing.
How this bet is settled: Wins if Rangers International win. Loses on a draw or an Shooting Stars win.
A 1X2 bet is on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. "1" is a Rangers International win, "X" a draw, "2" a Shooting Stars win. Full guide to 1X2.
Is the bookmaker's price worth taking?
Compare your bookmaker's odds with our fair odds of 1.83. If they offer more, the bet has value by our numbers; if they offer less, skip it or wait.
Example: your bookmaker offers 2.01 (example odds). A ₦1,000.00 stake returns ₦2,010.00 if it wins, a profit of ₦1,010.00. Work out your own slip with the payout calculator. How to turn odds into a chance.
Check before you bet
- Team news and line-ups, about an hour before kick-off. The model does not know about injuries: how team news moves odds.
- Whether either side played midweek or has a cup or CAF match soon (rotation).
- Odds movement since this page was published: why odds change.
- Do not add this pick to a long accumulator just to raise the price: how accumulators multiply risk.
Bet responsibly. Only stake money you can afford to lose. Set a deposit limit in your bookmaker account before you start. If betting stops being fun, read where to get help.
- NPFL: table and guide
- Rangers International stats and betting guide
- Shooting Stars stats and betting guide
- How our predictions work
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Pick made on 8 November 2026 from the table after matches up to 6 November 2026. Picks are never edited after publication.