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Kagera SugarvsDodoma Jiji
14.07X2.9522.41
Our pickNot both teams to score (NG)1.5764% chance
Kagera Sugar vs Dodoma Jiji prediction NBC Premier League · Fri 27 Nov
Short answer
Our pick is Not both teams to score (NG) at fair odds of 1.57: our model gives it a 64% chance. The model expects about 0.8–1.1. NBC Premier League, round 13, Friday 27 November, 19:00 EAT.
Form and table
Table after matches up to 3 November 2026.
| Table | Kagera Sugar | Dodoma Jiji |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 16 | 5 |
| Points | 6 | 16 |
| Played | 11 | 10 |
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-3-7 | 4-4-2 |
| Scored per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Conceded per game | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| Points per game | 0.55 | 1.60 |
| Home / away record | 0-3-2 at home | 2-2-1 away |
| Last five | WDLLL | WDWDD |
What the numbers say
- Kagera Sugar are 16th of 16 with 6 points from 11 games; Dodoma Jiji are 5th with 16 from 10.
- Kagera Sugar score 0.8 goals per game (below the league average of 1.2 per team) and concede 2.0 (more than average).
- Dodoma Jiji score 0.8 goals per game (below the league average of 1.2 per team) and concede 0.5 (fewer than average).
- At home Kagera Sugar are 0-3-2 (won-drawn-lost), 3 scored and 7 conceded.
- Away from home Dodoma Jiji are 2-2-1, 5 scored and 3 conceded.
- Kagera Sugar form, last five: WDLLL (1 win, 3 losses).
- Dodoma Jiji form, last five: WDWDD (2 wins, 0 losses).
Expected goals and likely scores
Our model expects Kagera Sugar 0.76 and Dodoma Jiji 1.08 goals. The league average is 1.20 goals per team per game, and the home factor is 1.26. These are the six most likely scores:
| Score (Kagera Sugar first) | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0–0 | 17% | 5.92 |
| 0–1 | 16% | 6.23 |
| 1–1 | 14% | 7.09 |
| 1–0 | 11% | 9.04 |
| 0–2 | 9% | 10.86 |
| 1–2 | 7% | 14.22 |
Even the most likely score usually has a chance well below 20%, which is why correct score bets pay so much and lose so often.
Chances for every main market
Chance from our model and the fair odds that match it. Your bookmaker's price includes a margin, so it is usually lower.
Full-time result (1X2)
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Kagera Sugar win | 25% | 4.07 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.95 |
| Dodoma Jiji win | 42% | 2.41 |
Double chance
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Kagera Sugar or draw | 59% | 1.71 |
| Dodoma Jiji or draw | 75% | 1.33 |
| Either team wins | 66% | 1.51 |
Draw no bet
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Kagera Sugar | 37% | 2.69 |
| Dodoma Jiji | 63% | 1.59 |
Total goals
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 56% | 1.79 |
| Under 1.5 | 44% | 2.27 |
| Over 2.5 | 28% | 3.57 |
| Under 2.5 | 72% | 1.39 |
| Over 3.5 | 12% | 8.66 |
| Under 3.5 | 88% | 1.13 |
Both teams to score
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Yes (GG) | 36% | 2.76 |
| No (NG) our pick | 64% | 1.57 |
Why we picked Not both teams to score (NG)
Not both teams to score (NG) has a 64% chance in our model, a medium level of confidence. For comparison: 1X2 favourite 42%, Over 2.5 28%, Under 2.5 72%, GG 36%. We pick the most likely simple bet whose fair odds are at least 1.45 (or, when every option is shorter, at least 1.30), so the bet is worth placing.
How this bet is settled: Wins if at least one team fails to score, for example 1–0 or 0–0. Loses at 1–1.
GG (both teams to score) wins if Kagera Sugar and Dodoma Jiji each score at least once. NG wins if at least one of them does not score. Full guide to GG/NG.
Is the bookmaker's price worth taking?
Compare your bookmaker's odds with our fair odds of 1.57. If they offer more, the bet has value by our numbers; if they offer less, skip it or wait.
Example: your bookmaker offers 1.73 (example odds). A TSh 1,000.00 stake returns TSh 1,730.00 if it wins, a profit of TSh 730.00. Work out your own slip with the payout calculator. How to turn odds into a chance.
Check before you bet
- Team news and line-ups, about an hour before kick-off. The model does not know about injuries: how team news moves odds.
- Whether either side played midweek or has a cup or CAF match soon (rotation).
- Odds movement since this page was published: why odds change.
- Do not add this pick to a long accumulator just to raise the price: how accumulators multiply risk.
Bet responsibly. Only stake money you can afford to lose. Set a deposit limit in your bookmaker account before you start. If betting stops being fun, read where to get help.
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Pick made on 8 November 2026 from the table after matches up to 3 November 2026. Picks are never edited after publication.