Not started
Pamba JijivsNamungo
12.31X3.4623.60
Our pickPamba Jiji, draw no bet1.6461% chance
Pamba Jiji vs Namungo prediction NBC Premier League · Fri 27 Nov
Short answer
Our pick is Pamba Jiji, draw no bet at fair odds of 1.64: our model gives it a 61% chance. The model expects about 1.4–1.1. NBC Premier League, round 13, Friday 27 November, 16:00 EAT.
Form and table
Table after matches up to 3 November 2026.
| Table | Pamba Jiji | Namungo |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 14 | 7 |
| Points | 6 | 15 |
| Played | 11 | 11 |
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-3-7 | 5-0-6 |
| Scored per game | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Conceded per game | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Points per game | 0.55 | 1.36 |
| Home / away record | 1-1-3 at home | 0-0-5 away |
| Last five | WDDLL | LWWWL |
What the numbers say
- Pamba Jiji are 14th of 16 with 6 points from 11 games; Namungo are 7th with 15 from 11.
- Pamba Jiji score 0.9 goals per game (below the league average of 1.2 per team) and concede 1.5 (more than average).
- Namungo score 1.1 goals per game (close to the league average of 1.2 per team) and concede 1.4 (more than average).
- At home Pamba Jiji are 1-1-3 (won-drawn-lost), 7 scored and 7 conceded.
- Away from home Namungo are 0-0-5, 5 scored and 11 conceded.
- Pamba Jiji form, last five: WDDLL (1 win, 2 losses).
- Namungo form, last five: LWWWL (3 wins, 2 losses).
Expected goals and likely scores
Our model expects Pamba Jiji 1.39 and Namungo 1.06 goals. The league average is 1.20 goals per team per game, and the home factor is 1.26. These are the six most likely scores:
| Score (Pamba Jiji first) | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 14% | 7.28 |
| 1–0 | 11% | 9.12 |
| 0–0 | 10% | 10.36 |
| 2–1 | 9% | 11.33 |
| 2–0 | 8% | 12.03 |
| 0–1 | 8% | 12.27 |
Even the most likely score usually has a chance well below 20%, which is why correct score bets pay so much and lose so often.
Chances for every main market
Chance from our model and the fair odds that match it. Your bookmaker's price includes a margin, so it is usually lower.
Full-time result (1X2)
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Pamba Jiji win | 43% | 2.31 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.46 |
| Namungo win | 28% | 3.60 |
Double chance
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Pamba Jiji or draw | 72% | 1.38 |
| Namungo or draw | 57% | 1.76 |
| Either team wins | 71% | 1.41 |
Draw no bet
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Pamba Jiji our pick | 61% | 1.64 |
| Namungo | 39% | 2.56 |
Total goals
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 1.40 |
| Under 1.5 | 29% | 3.48 |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 2.26 |
| Under 2.5 | 56% | 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 4.32 |
| Under 3.5 | 77% | 1.30 |
Both teams to score
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Yes (GG) | 50% | 2.00 |
| No (NG) | 50% | 2.00 |
Why we picked Pamba Jiji, draw no bet
Pamba Jiji, draw no bet has a 61% chance in our model, a medium level of confidence. For comparison: 1X2 favourite 43%, Over 2.5 44%, Under 2.5 56%, GG 50%, NG 50%. We pick the most likely simple bet whose fair odds are at least 1.45 (or, when every option is shorter, at least 1.30), so the bet is worth placing.
How this bet is settled: Wins if Pamba Jiji win; stake back on a draw; loses if Namungo win.
Draw no bet removes the draw: if the match ends level, you get your stake back. Full guide to draw no bet.
Is the bookmaker's price worth taking?
Compare your bookmaker's odds with our fair odds of 1.64. If they offer more, the bet has value by our numbers; if they offer less, skip it or wait.
Example: your bookmaker offers 1.80 (example odds). A TSh 1,000.00 stake returns TSh 1,800.00 if it wins, a profit of TSh 800.00. Work out your own slip with the payout calculator. How to turn odds into a chance.
Check before you bet
- Team news and line-ups, about an hour before kick-off. The model does not know about injuries: how team news moves odds.
- Whether either side played midweek or has a cup or CAF match soon (rotation).
- Odds movement since this page was published: why odds change.
- Do not add this pick to a long accumulator just to raise the price: how accumulators multiply risk.
Bet responsibly. Only stake money you can afford to lose. Set a deposit limit in your bookmaker account before you start. If betting stops being fun, read where to get help.
Other predictions for Fri 27 Nov
- Shooting Stars vs Rivers United · NPFL
- Kagera Sugar vs Dodoma Jiji · NBC Premier League
- Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea · Premier League
Pick made on 8 November 2026 from the table after matches up to 3 November 2026. Picks are never edited after publication.