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Kano PillarsvsAbia Warriors
11.71X3.9426.21
Our pickKano Pillars to win1.7159% chance
Kano Pillars vs Abia Warriors prediction NPFL · Sun 29 Nov
Short answer
Our pick is Kano Pillars to win at fair odds of 1.71: our model gives it a 59% chance. The model expects about 1.7–0.8. NPFL, round 15, Sunday 29 November, 16:00 WAT, Sani Abacha Stadium.
Form and table
Table after matches up to 6 November 2026.
| Table | Kano Pillars | Abia Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2 | 18 |
| Points | 19 | 10 |
| Played | 12 | 11 |
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-7-1 | 2-4-5 |
| Scored per game | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Conceded per game | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Points per game | 1.58 | 0.91 |
What the numbers say
- Kano Pillars are 2nd of 20 with 19 points from 12 games; Abia Warriors are 18th with 10 from 11.
- Kano Pillars score 1.2 goals per game (close to the league average of 1.1 per team) and concede 1.0 (fewer than average).
- Abia Warriors score 0.9 goals per game (below the league average of 1.1 per team) and concede 1.5 (more than average).
Expected goals and likely scores
Our model expects Kano Pillars 1.72 and Abia Warriors 0.79 goals. The league average is 1.14 goals per team per game, and the home factor is 1.15. These are the six most likely scores:
| Score (Kano Pillars first) | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 13% | 7.63 |
| 2–0 | 12% | 8.33 |
| 1–1 | 12% | 8.37 |
| 2–1 | 9% | 10.54 |
| 0–0 | 9% | 11.05 |
| 3–0 | 7% | 14.58 |
Even the most likely score usually has a chance well below 20%, which is why correct score bets pay so much and lose so often.
Chances for every main market
Chance from our model and the fair odds that match it. Your bookmaker's price includes a margin, so it is usually lower.
Full-time result (1X2)
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Kano Pillars win our pick | 59% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 |
| Abia Warriors win | 16% | 6.21 |
Double chance
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Kano Pillars or draw | 84% | 1.19 |
| Abia Warriors or draw | 41% | 2.41 |
| Either team wins | 75% | 1.34 |
Draw no bet
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Kano Pillars | 78% | 1.28 |
| Abia Warriors | 22% | 4.63 |
Total goals
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 1.38 |
| Under 1.5 | 28% | 3.61 |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.19 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.84 |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 4.11 |
| Under 3.5 | 76% | 1.32 |
Both teams to score
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Yes (GG) | 46% | 2.19 |
| No (NG) | 54% | 1.84 |
Why we picked Kano Pillars to win
Kano Pillars to win has a 59% chance in our model, a modest level of confidence. For comparison: Over 2.5 46%, Under 2.5 54%, GG 46%, NG 54%. We pick the most likely simple bet whose fair odds are at least 1.45 (or, when every option is shorter, at least 1.30), so the bet is worth placing.
How this bet is settled: Wins if Kano Pillars win. Loses on a draw or an Abia Warriors win.
A 1X2 bet is on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. "1" is a Kano Pillars win, "X" a draw, "2" a Abia Warriors win. Full guide to 1X2.
Is the bookmaker's price worth taking?
Compare your bookmaker's odds with our fair odds of 1.71. If they offer more, the bet has value by our numbers; if they offer less, skip it or wait.
Example: your bookmaker offers 1.88 (example odds). A ₦1,000.00 stake returns ₦1,880.00 if it wins, a profit of ₦880.00. Work out your own slip with the payout calculator. How to turn odds into a chance.
Check before you bet
- Team news and line-ups, about an hour before kick-off. The model does not know about injuries: how team news moves odds.
- Whether either side played midweek or has a cup or CAF match soon (rotation).
- Odds movement since this page was published: why odds change.
- Do not add this pick to a long accumulator just to raise the price: how accumulators multiply risk.
Bet responsibly. Only stake money you can afford to lose. Set a deposit limit in your bookmaker account before you start. If betting stops being fun, read where to get help.
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Pick made on 8 November 2026 from the table after matches up to 6 November 2026. Picks are never edited after publication.