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FC Samartex 1996vsHearts of Oak
13.05X2.4723.75
Our pickFC Samartex 1996, draw no bet1.8155% chance
FC Samartex 1996 vs Hearts of Oak prediction Ghana Premier League · Sun 15 Nov
Short answer
Our pick is FC Samartex 1996, draw no bet at fair odds of 1.81: our model gives it a 55% chance. The model expects about 0.7–0.6. Ghana Premier League, round 11, Sunday 15 November, Time TBC.
Form and table
Table after matches up to 6 November 2026.
| Table | FC Samartex 1996 | Hearts of Oak |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2 | 3 |
| Points | 18 | 17 |
| Played | 9 | 9 |
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-3-1 | 5-2-2 |
| Scored per game | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Conceded per game | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.89 |
| Last five | WLWDW | DWWWL |
What the numbers say
- FC Samartex 1996 are 2nd of 18 with 18 points from 9 games; Hearts of Oak are 3rd with 17 from 9.
- FC Samartex 1996 score 1.1 goals per game (close to the league average of 1.0 per team) and concede 0.6 (fewer than average).
- Hearts of Oak score 1.0 goals per game (close to the league average of 1.0 per team) and concede 0.3 (fewer than average).
- FC Samartex 1996 form, last five: WLWDW (3 wins, 1 loss).
- Hearts of Oak form, last five: DWWWL (3 wins, 1 loss).
Expected goals and likely scores
Our model expects FC Samartex 1996 0.74 and Hearts of Oak 0.64 goals. The league average is 1.04 goals per team per game, and the home factor is 1.15. These are the six most likely scores:
| Score (FC Samartex 1996 first) | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0–0 | 26% | 3.81 |
| 1–0 | 18% | 5.65 |
| 0–1 | 15% | 6.60 |
| 1–1 | 13% | 7.79 |
| 2–0 | 7% | 14.53 |
| 0–2 | 5% | 19.49 |
Even the most likely score usually has a chance well below 20%, which is why correct score bets pay so much and lose so often.
Chances for every main market
Chance from our model and the fair odds that match it. Your bookmaker's price includes a margin, so it is usually lower.
Full-time result (1X2)
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| FC Samartex 1996 win | 33% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 41% | 2.47 |
| Hearts of Oak win | 27% | 3.75 |
Double chance
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| FC Samartex 1996 or draw | 73% | 1.36 |
| Hearts of Oak or draw | 67% | 1.49 |
| Either team wins | 59% | 1.68 |
Draw no bet
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| FC Samartex 1996 our pick | 55% | 1.81 |
| Hearts of Oak | 45% | 2.23 |
Total goals
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 41% | 2.45 |
| Under 1.5 | 59% | 1.69 |
| Over 2.5 | 16% | 6.24 |
| Under 2.5 | 84% | 1.19 |
| Over 3.5 | 5% | 19.69 |
| Under 3.5 | 95% | 1.05 |
Both teams to score
| Bet | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Yes (GG) | 26% | 3.92 |
| No (NG) | 74% | 1.34 |
Why we picked FC Samartex 1996, draw no bet
FC Samartex 1996, draw no bet has a 55% chance in our model, a modest level of confidence. For comparison: 1X2 favourite 33%, Over 2.5 16%, Under 2.5 84%, GG 26%, NG 74%. We pick the most likely simple bet whose fair odds are at least 1.45 (or, when every option is shorter, at least 1.30), so the bet is worth placing.
How this bet is settled: Wins if FC Samartex 1996 win; stake back on a draw; loses if Hearts of Oak win.
Draw no bet removes the draw: if the match ends level, you get your stake back. Full guide to draw no bet.
Is the bookmaker's price worth taking?
Compare your bookmaker's odds with our fair odds of 1.81. If they offer more, the bet has value by our numbers; if they offer less, skip it or wait.
Example: your bookmaker offers 1.99 (example odds). A GH₵10.00 stake returns GH₵19.90 if it wins, a profit of GH₵9.90. Work out your own slip with the payout calculator. How to turn odds into a chance.
Check before you bet
- Team news and line-ups, about an hour before kick-off. The model does not know about injuries: how team news moves odds.
- Whether either side played midweek or has a cup or CAF match soon (rotation).
- Odds movement since this page was published: why odds change.
- Do not add this pick to a long accumulator just to raise the price: how accumulators multiply risk.
Bet responsibly. Only stake money you can afford to lose. Set a deposit limit in your bookmaker account before you start. If betting stops being fun, read where to get help.
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Pick made on 8 November 2026 from the table after matches up to 6 November 2026. Picks are never edited after publication.